Business Cycles

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The "We've Created Millions of Jobs" Myth

U.S. EconomyBusiness Cycles


Job growth in the United States is weaker than one might believe based on the "we've created millions of jobs" mantra.

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The Container Ship Curse?

Booms and BustsGlobal EconomyBusiness Cycles


The world's largest container ship just entered a US port. Just in time for record low levels in the Baltic Dry Shipping Index, which is a measure of how much ships can charge.

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Is the Fed Flashing A Recession Sign?

Booms and BustsThe FedBusiness Cycles


This little known chart is the Fed's attempt to anticipate a recession in the US economy. The reading from last November is only 3.84%, but that is higher than all but 3 months when a recession did not immediately proceed.

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Dark Clouds over Auburn

Booms and BustsThe FedBusiness CyclesCapital and Interest TheoryMoney and Banking


I have lived in Auburn, Alabama, for more than three decades and have never seen a Super Sized Construction Crane. Last week, two were erected in the middle of town.

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Did the NY Fed Plagiarize Rothbard?

Booms and BustsBusiness Cycles


Rothbard's book is considered the standard on the subject of the 1819 crisis, yet the NY Fed authors seem reluctant to speak his name.

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Janet Yellen Strikes Downbeat Tone on Economy, Claims Fed Won't Go Negative

Booms and BustsThe FedBusiness Cycles


Even the Fed, which has for years been describing the economy as "expanding at a moderate pace," and which a few months back was saying it was "hawkish," has, through Janet Yellen's testimony today, been forced to admit that a rate cut may again be on the horizon.

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What Was Quicken Loans Thinking?

Booms and BustsBusiness Cycles


Apparently Quicken Loans is thinking like John Maynard Keynes and Paul Krugman. They can create their own bubble and multiplier effect. It's magic!

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Barron's Is Talking Skyscraper Curse

Booms and BustsGlobal EconomyMoney and BanksU.S. EconomyBusiness CyclesMoney and Banking


Barron's is writing about skyscrapers and the Skyscraper Curse. They also quote me on the subject.

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